NBA road system

*ROAD SYSTEM * +124.23 units


Philadelphia *

Toronto/Philadelphia UNDER 208 *

New Orleans *

Houston/New Orleans UNDER 182 *

Seattle *

New York/Seattle UNDER 192 *

Detroit *

Indiana/Detroit UNDER 175 *

Zmones propaguoja zaidyma kazino. Atviras, naglas ir nemokamas spamas.

Galetu bent alaus deze saito savininkams pastatyt.

Bet kokiai strategijaii reik suprast uz ka ir kodel dedi, o kaip dauguma lietuvaiicu mano, akd uztenka gaut tokia sistemele ir laimesi, nesamone, vistiek reik mastyt...

Any NBA team that is going on a 3-game or longer road trip, bet against them and bet on the under. If they cover or the game goes over, double up your bet (that's where the bank to back it up comes in). Keep doubling until they don't cover and until you get a game that goes under. If they cover all games and/or all the games go over, end the series there. As soon as they don't cover and/or a game goes under, that ends the series as well.

FYI, the under and side bets are mutually exclusive and don't rely on each other. I just wanted to clarify that as my post looked a little confusing to me.


Now, to cover the rules:

Let's start with the system that we have been following all year on the board, the 5-game road trip. Bet against the road team and bet the under until you win, with these 5 NEVERS:
NEVER bet Dallas TOTALS
NEVER bet LA Lakers TOTALS
NEVER bet LA Clipper TOTALS
NEVER bet Memphis TOTALS
NEVER bet San Antonio SIDES
Since the 2000/01 season, we would have lost all 5 bets 4 times. On Laker totals twice, on Clipper totals once, and on Dallas totals once. The answer?...just don't bet 'em. While Memphis and San Antonio have never actually covered all 5 games, they have come close enough too many times for my comfort. Therefore, throw them out too. It never happened last year and hasn't happened this year yet, so let's hope that continues.

THE 4-GAME ROAD TRIP
Sorry I didn't post this yesterday, because Portland started a 4-game trip last night in Minny, and we all know what happened there. We got both bets. Anyway, exact same premise as the 5-gamer (bet against the road team and on the UNDER). All of the NEVERS have a trickle-down effect. Of course if it holds for a 5-game trip, it will hold for a 4 or 3-game trip also. So the NEVERS above hold for the 4-game trips too. In the last 3 1/2 season, we would have lost all 4 bets 14 times, including twice already this year (Utah sides and Laker totals). But since we aren't betting Laker totals, we only lost the cash once. The next 4-game trip doesn't start until January 14th (Toronto).

THE 3-GAME ROAD TRIP
The same rules apply as we had in the 4 and 5-game trips with a few added in:
NEVER bet Chicago TOTALS
NEVER bet Dallas SIDES
NEVER bet Houston TOTALS
NEVER bet Memphis SIDES
NEVER bet Orlando TOTALS
NEVER bet Philadelphia SIDES
NEVER bet Phoenix TOTALS
NEVER bet Utah TOTALS
So there you have it. We'll get hammered in all 3 bets numerous times throughout the year, but the risk is much smaller. It has already happened 6 times this year, but if you follow the NEVERS, we only lost the cash 3 times.

So your next question: If you had followed the rules since the 2000/01 season, what your profit be?
Answer: 684.4 UNITS

If you hadn't followed the NEVERS and played every possible trip, you would still have profited 168.5 units. Not chump change by any means. The problem always comes back to what will the last bet in the system be and how much can you afford to lose? I've already said I am only using 35% of my normal unit play, so that would translate to 239.54 regular units. Not bad for only a little over 3 seasons of work.

Here's a breakdown of the percentage of times you win on each bet:
5-game trip:
Game 1: 54.4%
Game 2: 22.1%
Game 3: 11.2%
Game 4: 8.0%
Game 5: 2.9%
Game 5 LOSS: 1.4%

4-game trip:
Game 1: 52.9%
Game 2: 27.0%
Game 3: 9.4%
Game 4: 5.7%
Game 4 LOSS: 5.0%

3-game trip:
Game 1: 53.4%
Game 2: 22.1%
Game 3: 13.0%
Game 3 LOSS: 11.5%

As you can see, 75-80% of the time, you don't even make it to game 3. And these numbers are assuming you didn't follow the NEVERS and played every possible trip. If you are going to play them all, I would suggest you not use the 3-game system. It wouldn't be worth the risk. Good luck!

And finally, how the actual risk per bet should be figured:

I am always trying to gain one unit on the total bet, and one unit on the side bet. But as I have said before, you should work BACKWARD on a 5-game series to determine what is the absolute most you are willing to risk on a game in this system, because you absolutely MUST abide by it, or it won't work and you will get killed in the end.

So let's assume a 5-game series with losses on the first 4 games (heaven forbid). You are always trying to win back your total losses to that point PLUS one unit. For instance:
1st game - risk 1.1 to win 1
2nd game - risk 2.31 to win 2.1
3rd game - risk 4.85 to win 4.41
4th game - risk 10.19 to win 9.26
5th game - risk 20.3 to win 18.45

So your "to win" number is always going to be your total losses on that series PLUS one unit. Now that you know that the most you will ever risk on one game is 20.3 units, you can figure what your unit bet will be.

Assume you don't want to risk more than a dime on any one game. Your unit bet will then be $50. If you had been betting $50 per unit for the first half of this season, you would be up over $4000. Not too bad.

Nieko as cia nesupratau, bet galiu pasakyt tik viena. Lazybu kontoros turi miliarda pelno (ne Lietuvos) taip, kad ju paskaiciavimas tikrai geresni nei jusu ir jie ne peckeliai kurie su Exel skaiciuoja. O jei vienas kartas pasiteisino tai bus toks kartas kai prarybinsit

Kokie trys praejo?

3/14 Port(+8') @ Minn...Risk $110 to win $100
Port wins 92-83 (we are down $110)
3/16 Port(+1) @ Milw...Risk $231 to win $210
Port wins 100-99 (we are down $341)
3/17 Port(+ @ Indy...Risk $485.10 to win $441
Indy wins 80-71 (we are up $100)

Pavyko tik trecioje iteracijoje.
Zaidziant Lietuvoje jau trecios iteracijos suma butu problematiska pastatyti, o jeigu dar viena? beveik 1000 baksu reiketu statyti. O jeigu dar? Virs 2000 baksu.
O jeigu dar pralaimesi? Kodel gi ne. Rizikuoti 10 000Usd del 100?

O kiek nervu tai kainuoja?

Uztikrinti tai, kad is 4 ivykiu tu butinai atspeji bent viena NEIMANOMA.
Net geriausi kapperiai turi daug dydesnes luzo serijas. Galima ir 10 is eiles prakist. Ypac kai nervintis pradedi del aukstu dogono sumu.

isvengti bankroto ir tureti kazkoki pelna. Visa esme, kaip tu tuos ivykius parinksi. Pries tai duotas dogonu naudojimo budas yra vienas is tokiu pavyzdziu, kai tinkamai parenkami ivykiai. Tik visu dziaugsmas del visu triju ivykiu islosimo yra nepagristas, nes laisvai galejo visi trys ir nepraeiti.

Jo, gaila Nepergyvenk, dar spesi savo pralost

Kaip zmones greit pasitiki dogonais.

zajabys.

tikrai gera sitema. gaila kad nepradejau nuo vakar.

gerai parase, pazek viska atspejo.
mldc, toliau taip

zajabali tie sveciai su savo temu kurimu, gal kas nors kada nors imsis kokiu nors priemoniu
bent lietuviskai rasytumet urodai

Bukmekeris: Pinnacle

good one.

will be waiting for your picks

ROAD SYSTEM +120.13 units


Washington/Utah UNDER 193 *

Houston *

Cleveland/Houston UNDER 183 *

Well guys, it's about that time of year again, so I figured I'd go ahead and give those who are interested a heads up.

Let me say right off the bat that I am not advocating this system as a sure-fire way to put extra cash in your pocket. People have expressed interest, so I'm going to outline the way I use it. It is a martingale system, which everyone says stay away from. But I've used it since 1998, and it has finished in the black every year, including +88.12 units last year. That doesn't mean it won't completely cave and lose 500 units this year. I just wanted to be clear on that.

First, I'll recap what the system is all about. It's really very simple, and completely takes the handicapping aspect out of the game. If you enjoy looking at trends, stats, matchups, chemistry, schedules, etc., this isn't for you.

All you have to do is look for teams that are going on a 3-game or longer road trip. They must be consecutive games on the road, and if the trip is split up over the All-Star break, it is usually discarded. This is also for the regular season only, although I think nvralock used a variation of it during the playoffs with some success.

Once you have your team, you simply bet AGAINST them and bet on the UNDER. There are some teams where we don't go against them and/or we don't bet the total. I will cover that later. On the side bet, if the road team covers, you must double your bet on the 2nd game of the trip. If they cover again, you must double THAT bet on the 3rd game, and so on. Here's an example with the Portland Jailblazers from last year. Let's assume we are trying to win one unit, and we have already decided that our unit play for the system is going to be $100.
3/14 Port(+8') @ Minn...Risk $110 to win $100
Port wins 92-83 (we are down $110)
3/16 Port(+1) @ Milw...Risk $231 to win $210
Port wins 100-99 (we are down $341)
3/17 Port(+8) @ Indy...Risk $485.10 to win $441
Indy wins 80-71 (we are up $100)
You always have to risk enough to win whatever your losses are on the trip PLUS your unit play. As soon as Portland doesn't cover, that is the end of the betting for that trip. Don't try to extend it for whatever reason.

The premise is exactly the same for the totals bet. You just bet the under until the game goes under, or until every game in the series has gone over.


I mentioned earlier that there are some teams that I don't bet against and there also some teams where I won't bet the under on their games. Using these is just my attempt to dodge 1 or 2 losing road trips during the year, because let's face it, when you lose every game in a series, it hurts like a son-of-a-bitch. If we can miss a couple of those big losses, it's worth missing out on a couple of units in wins. Here are the series bets that I NEVER make on ANY length of road trip:
Lakers TOTALS
Clippers TOTALS
Mavericks TOTALS
Spurs SIDES
Those are set in stone and I never bet the under with those teams, nor do I bet against San Antonio, regardless of how long the road trip is. There are also quite a few more that I don't bet on 3-game road trips ONLY. Here are those:
Sixers SIDES
Nets SIDES
Knicks SIDES
Bulls TOTALS
Magic TOTALS
Jazz TOTALS
Trailblazers SIDES
Rockets TOTALS
Grizzlies SIDES
Grizzlies TOTALS
These strictly come from my opinion, and they could be perfect all year long. Whether you follow them or not is up to you.

Another question that comes us is "what about pushes?" Well, if it happens in the first game of a 3-game trip, I throw out that bet. If it happens on the first game of a 4 or 5-game trip, I just reduce the length of the trip by one game, and continue on (assuming that the team does not now fall into one of my 3-game trip rules). If it happens after the first game, tough shit. That part of the system sucks, but there's nothing you can do about it.

Bankroll, bankroll, bankroll. It's hard to say exactly how much you need to play this system faithfully. One tip I've used is to see what your bet would be on the 5th game of a road trip (after doubling each time), and then double that number. If you have the means, then just pick your unit size and go with it. But DON'T increase your unit size as your bankroll grows. Suppose the first half of the season, we cruise with very few hiccups. Then, in the 2nd half (after you've increased your unit size about 250%), we lose 6 3-gamers, 3 4-gamers, and (God forbid), a 5-gamer. If you haven't increased your unit size, you could probably survive. But if you have, you are probably trying to raise rent money by hooking out on a corner hoping Blackjack comes along because he tips so well.

Anyway, that's all I can think of right now. I'll be trying to post the plays I am using every day whenever possible. I'm heading to Dallas to watch the Cowgirls play the Steelers this weekend, so if you post a question, be patient. I'll answer it Monday. Good luck this weekend, fellas!